Our publication about „Predicting Developments in Technology-enhanced Learning through Betting – The Concept for a Facebook App“ is now published in the book E-Learning: New Technology, Applications and Future Trends [Link].
Our research article deals with a new form of future study methodology in the field of technology-enhanced learning (TEL): the approach of prediction markets, especially pari-mutuel betting. Therefore we start with a short introduction in future research and go on with a description on the process of prediction markets. Our focus is on a concept for a Facebook app supporting the idea of bets on future developments. The application itself is a betting application wherein a user is able to bet on a certain question, related to TEL problems and trends, with a variable amount of virtual money. The goal of the tool is to use the outcome of the bets for evaluating future trends